Why this year's flu outbreak is one of the worst
There isn’t really a flu virus (there’s three), the Aussie
kind isn’t from Australia and there isn’t one vaccine to rule them all. Two
scientists debunk the myths.
The UK is
being hit with one of the worst flu seasons in recent decades. A total of 664
hospital admissions and 85 confirmed deaths have been reported since the
beginning of winter 2017.
The British media have blamed “Aussie flu” for the outbreak.
The truth is, there is not just one flu strain we should be worried about, and
Aussie flu is a bit of a misnomer.
First, a bit about flu strains. There isn’t really a flu
virus. Flu virus is a name we give a group of four closely related viruses:
influenza A, influenza B, influenza C and influenza D. While humans can’t catch
influenza D (that’s for pigs and cows), we can be infected with influenza A, B
and C. Public health officials, however, are less worried about influenza C as
it isn’t a major cause of illness. But influenza A and B are a real worry.
Influenza A has been found in – and causes disease in – lots
of animals, including birds, bats, dogs, pigs and penguins. One of the major
worries is pandemic influenza, where a new virus jumps from animals and spreads
across the world easily because we haven’t had a chance to build up immunity to
that new type.
Influenzas A and B can be subdivided even further by the
proteins they carry on their surface – hemagglutinin (H) and neuraminidase (N).
These proteins help the virus identify the right cells to infect.
For influenza A there are 18 Hs and 11 Ns identified so far.
Hence we get names such as H1N1 for swine flu or H5N1 for bird flu. Contrast
this with the fact that there are really only two lineages of influenza B,
named after cities in Japan and Australia: Yamagata and Victoria, respectively.
The Hs and Ns are continuously evolving in response to our
immune systems, which recognise and make antibodies to stop the virus taking
hold. A vaccine usually supplies the H and N proteins without the potentially
dangerous virus. Scientists also continuously track the H and N of circulating
influenza viruses and adjust the vaccine to match what’s out there. This is the
basis for flu vaccination and why you have to get a new vaccine jab every year.
Enter Aussie flu
Aussie flu refers to one kind of influenza A virusstrain, the H3N2 strain.
The southern hemisphere, including Australia, just
experienced one of its worst influenza seasons in recent history and this is
the virus that has reached British shores. But we don’t actually know where the
virus originated from. All we can say is, it probably wasn’t from Australia.
One place it is more likely to have come from is the
sub-tropical regions that do not have winter seasons. These regions do not
suffer from the same large flu epidemics that temperate countries like the UK
and Australia do (we don’t know why, but some scientists have suggested it’s to
do with temperature or humidity), but have a continuous lower-level circulation
of flu that allows influenza viruses to persist between winters.
What’s worrying about this season is the experience
Australia had last flu season. Australia was hit particularly hard by influenza
virus H3N2. H3N2 is a typical seasonal flu strain – like H1N1 – but it tends to
be more difficult to control.
There are three red flags this flu season, and they are that
H3N2 viruses typically cause more hospitalisations and deaths in older
people, there are difficulties in producing effective H3N2 vaccines (explained
below), and there’s more than just H3N2 to consider, especially in the UK this
year.
Although good against the other strains, this season the
vaccine is about 20 per cent protective against H3N2 viruses (not great,but better than nothing) as the virus changes unavoidably duringproduction. This is due to a quirk of how flu vaccines are produced. They are
grown in chicken eggs, and then inactivated before being used in vaccines.
Flu viruses mutate quickly and they mutate to adapt to their
environment. Of course, a chicken egg is a different environment to a human
body, so the end result may be a virus that’s not best suited to a flu vaccine.
This appears to have been what happened with the latest H3N2 vaccine.
Seasonal flu epidemics are usually caused by a mixed bag of
viruses. This year, the mix is so far mainly shared between H3N2 and influenza
B.
What’s worse is that this increase in proportion of
influenza B makes it more difficult to protect from because the most popular
vaccine in the UK is a “trivalent” that protects against three flu viruses(H1N1, H3N2 and one of the two kinds of influenza B). This year, though, the
other type of influenza B (Yamagata) is more common, meaning that those with
the trivalent vaccine will be protected less, although they would likely get
some cross-influenza B protection.
One vaccine to rule them all
Influenza is incredibly diverse. And this diversity can have
devastating consequences for human and animal health. Although our ability to
track flu, predict the viruses making up the next season and produce safe and
effective vaccines is improving, we are always playing catch up. Efforts to
produce a universal flu vaccine are, however, being pursued by scientists
across the world. The idea would be that a single vaccine given a few times
during your life would protect you from any flu virus, irrespective of H, N, A
or B.
But, until then, you can defend yourself and your loved ones
from the flu this year by getting your vaccine, practising good personal
hygiene, such as hand-washing, and avoiding crowded spaces if you are
experiencing flu-like symptoms.
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